Monthly Returns with BenchmarkI keep working on trying to make TradingView strategies look fancier.
A few months ago I published the first version of the Monthly Returns for Strategies in Pine Script. I received quite a lot of good feedback and quite a lot of requests to update it.
This is a more advanced version of the Monthly Returns, in it, you can:
Display monthly returns of your strategy, benchmark, and alpha over this benchmark.
Select benchmark to be another instrument
Select the date from which you want to compute monthly returns
Show/hide benchmark and alpha
Choose colors for gradient for gain/loss values
Use it with any type of strategy
Use it with replay
I hope it will be useful for you.
It's not about the strategy itself but the way you display returns on your chart. So pls don't critique my choice of the strategy and its performance 🙂
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
在腳本中搜尋"the strat"
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & TEMA1This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This study plots the TEMA1 indicator. TEMA1 ia s triple MA (Moving Average),
and is calculated as 3*MA - (3*MA(MA)) + (MA(MA(MA)))
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Sideways Strategy DMI + Bollinger Bands (by Coinrule)Markets don’t always trade in a clear direction. At a closer look, most of the time, they move sideways. Relying on trend-following strategies all the time can thus lead to repeated false signals in such conditions.
However, before you can safely trade sideways, you have to identify the most suitable market conditions.
The main features of such strategies are:
Short-term trades, with quick entries and quick exits
Slightly contrarian and mean-reversionary
Require some indicator that tells you it’s a sideways market
This Sideways DMI + Bollinger Bands strategy incorporates such features to bring you a profitable alternative when the regular trend-following systems stop working.
ENTRY
1. The trading system requires confirmation for a sideways market from the Directional Movement Index (DMI) before you can start opening any trades. For this purpose, the strategy uses the absolute difference between positive and negative DMI, which must be lower than 20.
2. To pick the right moment to buy, the strategy looks at the Bollinger Bands (BB). It enters the trade when the price crosses over the lower BB.
EXIT
The strategy then exits when the move has been exhausted. Generally, in sideways markets, the price should revert lower. The position is closed when the price crosses back down below the upper BB.
The best time frame for this strategy based on our backtest is the 1-hr. Shorter timeframes can also work well on certain coins that are more volatile and trade sideways more often. However, as expected, these exhibit larger volatility in their returns. In general, this approach suits medium timeframes. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange.
You can execute this strategy on your favourite exchange at coinrule.com.
TradingGroundhog - Strategy & Fractal V1#-- Public Strategy - No Repaint - Fractals -- Short term
Here I come with another script, more simple than Wavetrend V1. You will love it.
#-- Synopsis --
Another simple idea, on a small time frame (15 min) we buy when the opening price goes below a Bottom fractals and sell when it goes over a Top fractals, but as this script do not use Wavetrends. You should stop by your self to use the script during long lasting downtrends.
I developed the strategy using BTC /EUR 3 MIN BINANCE but it can be applied to many other cryptos, I don't know for forex or others. You can use it for short term (to a month of uptrend) and automated trading.
#-- Graph reading --
And now, how to read it ?
Fractals:
Yellow Flags occur when the opening price goes below a Bottom fractal , it means Buy.
White Flags appear when the opening price goes over a Top fractal , it means Sell.
#-- Parameters --
*** Parameters have been intensively optimized using 10 cryptocurrency markets in order to have potent efficiency for each of them. I would recommend to only change the Can Be touch parameter. For the others, I don't recommend any modifications. The idea behind the script is to be able to switch between markets without having to optimize parameters, less work, easy to target active crypto and therefor limit the risks. ***
Can be touch :
'Filter fractals' : Activate or Disable the filtering fractal operation. If Enable, buy during less risky periods. (Activate is often better)
Can be touch but not necessary :
'VolumeMA' : The Volume corrector used by the fractals
'Extreme window' : The number of price individuals to look for if we want to remove extreme fractals.
Not to touch :
'Long Sop Loss (%)' : The minimal difference of price between a Fractal bottom and the opening price to buy.
#-- Time frame --
Should be used with the following time frames depending on the necessity:
1 MIN
3 MIN (Preferred with the parameters set)
5 MIN
#-- Last words --
The script can be set up to send Tradingview signals to 3comma just by adding comment = " " in strategy.close_all() and strategy.entry().
Good trades !
Disclaimer (As it should always be one to any script)
***
This script is intended for and only to be used for personal purposes only. No such information provided by it constitutes advice or a recommendation for any investment or trading strategy for any specific person. There is no guarantee presented or implied as to the accuracy of specific forecasts, projections, or predictive statements offered by the script. Users of the script agree that its original developer does not take responsibility for any of your investment decisions. Please seek professional advice before trading.
***
# Here are the results from the 20rst of September 2021 with 100% of equity on the BTC /EUR 3 Min and with a capital of 10 000 EUR. So almost, one month.
# As I saw, it goes from +30% to more than +160% (the great SHIB) depending on the selected crypto. It may be negative if you spot a downtrend.
TradingGroundhog - Strategy & Wavetrend V2#-- Public Strategy - No Repaint - Fractals - Wavetrend --
Here I come with another script, a nice and simple strategy based on fractals and Wavetrends.
#-- Synopsis --
A simple idea, on a small time frame (15 min) we buy when the opening price goes below a Bottom fractals and sell when it goes over a Top fractals, but in order to avoid bad and evil downtrends, we use Wavetrends based on a Daily time frame. From it, Tops and Bottoms are extracted. If the opening price goes above Wavetrend Tops, no trades will be conducted during the day. If the price goes below Wavetrend bottoms, no trades will be executed from 1 to N days, until a new Wavetrend bottom is generated.
I developed the strategy using BTC /EUR 15 MIN BINANCE but it can be applied to many other cryptos, I don't know for forex or others. You can use it for long term and automated trading, I implemented the Wavetrend indicator to do so, or for short term if you have spot a long coming uptrend. Test it, look at its profit and long or short period on your crypto of choice.
#-- Graph reading --
And now, how to read it ?
Wavetrends:
Red Backgrounds are associated to No Trade periods. These periods occur when the price goes below a Wavetrend bottom or above a Wavetrend Top. They are here to limit the loss.
Blue Gradient lines represent the past Tops. For each bar, only the increasing values of the Wavetrend tops are acquired. Going from light to dark blue based on the age of the Tops. Thus, if on line goes from dark to light, this means the price is approaching a previous Wavetrend top. In the opposite, if it darken, thus the price say 'buy buy' and go dropping.
Yellow Gradient lines represent the past Bottoms. They are based on the same principe that the blue lines.
Fractals:
Yellow Flags occur when the opening price goes below a Bottom fractal , it means Buy.
White Flags appear when the opening price goes over a Top fractal , it means Sell.
#-- Parameters --
*** Parameters have been intensively optimized using 10 cryptocurrency markets in order to have potent efficiency for each of them. I would recommend to only change the Can Be touch parameter. For the others, I don't recommend any modifications. The idea behind the script is to be able to switch between markets without having to optimize parameters, less work, easy to target active crypto and therefor limit the risks. ***
Can be touch :
'Combined Smoothness' : The number of open individuals used by the Wavetrend. (6 or 9, often 9 is better but with less volatile crypto it will be 6)
'Filter fractals' : Activate or Disable the filtering fractal operation. If Enable, buy during less risky periods. (Disable is often better)
Can be touch but not necessary :
'VolumeMA' : The Volume corrector used by the fractals
'Extreme window' : The number of price individuals to look for if we want to remove extreme fractals.
Not to touch :
'Limit_candle to look on' : Number of candles to use to compute the Wavetrend Tops and Bottoms.
'Length top bottom drawn' : Size of the lines
'Long Sop Loss (%)' : The minimal difference of price between a Fractal bottom and the opening price to buy.
#-- Time frame --
Should be used with the following time frames depending on the necessity:
1 MIN
3 MIN (Interesting for short term profit, may need some parameter ajustements)
5 MIN
15 MIN (Preferred for long term profit, the script was developed on it)
#-- Last words --
The script can be set up to send Tradingview signals to 3comma just by adding comment = " " in strategy.close_all() and strategy.entry().
Good trades !
Disclaimer (As it should always be one to any script)
***
This script is intended for and only to be used for personal purposes only. No such information provided by it constitutes advice or a recommendation for any investment or trading strategy for any specific person. There is no guarantee presented or implied as to the accuracy of specific forecasts, projections, or predictive statements offered by the script. Users of the script agree that its original developer does not take responsibility for any of your investment decisions. Please seek professional advice before trading.
***
# Here are the results from the 1rst of July 2021 with 100% of equity on the BTC /EUR 15 Min and with a capital of 1 000 EUR.
# As I saw, it goes from +20% to more than +100% depending on the selected crypto. Sometimes it's negative but it's quite rare on crypto using the EUR.
Up/Down Short StrategyThis is a consecutive bar up/down strategy for going short only where you can specify how many bars down to enter and how many bars up to exit. It also has code to check and make sure the condition is still true when launching the official alert, which helps back testing and live results line up, however be sure to enter commission and slippage into the properties to accurately reflect profits. I added back testing date ranges to this so you can easily pull up and see back tested results for a certain date range. I also added a buy and sell messages, close messages and take profit/stop loss message fields in the properties so you can launch alerts that will work with automated trading services. Simply enter your messages into those fields in the properties and then when you create an alert enter {{strategy.order.alert_message}} into the alert body and it will dynamically pull in your buy and sell messages when it fires alerts. I also added time restriction so you can enter trades only during the time frame specified. You can change it to any time frame, such at 0930-1600. Set the time restriction field to empty by default since otherwise the strategy won't take all trades like normal. So to enable time restriction enter a time frame in the format 0000-0000. I also added the ability to check off a box that will close the open trade at the end of the time restriction. So if you set the time frame to 0930-1600 and check off to enable close trade at end of time frame then it will look to exit the trade at the close of the next bar.
Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)Trend-following strategies are great because they give you the peace of mind that you're trading in line with the market.
However, by definition, you're always following . That means you're always a bit later than your want to be. The main challenges such strategies face are:
Confirming that there is a trend
Following the trend, hopefully, early enough to catch the majority of the move
Hopping off the trade when it seems to have run its course
This EMA Trend-following strategy attempts to address such challenges while allowing for a dynamic stop loss.
ENTRY
The trading system requires three crossovers on the same candle to confirm that a new trend is beginning:
Price crossing over EMA 7
Price crossing over EMA 14
Price crossing over EMA 21
The first benefit of using all three crossovers is to reduce false signals. The second benefit is that you know that a strong trend is likely to develop relatively soon, with the help of the fast setup of the three EMAs.
EXIT
The strategy comes with a fixed take profit and a volatility stop, which acts as a trailing stop to adapt to the trend's strength. That helps you get out of the way as soon as market conditions change. Depending on your long term confidence in the asset, you can edit the fixed take profit to be more conservative or aggressive.
The position is closed when:
The price increases by 4%
The price crosses below the volatility stop.
The best time frame for this strategy based on our backtest is the 4-hr. Shorter timeframes can also work well, although they exhibit larger volatility in their returns. In general, this approach suits medium timeframes. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange.
You can execute this strategy on your favourite exchange at coinrule.com
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & T3 Averages This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This indicator plots the moving average described in the January, 1998 issue
of S&C, p.57, "Smoothing Techniques for More Accurate Signals", by Tim Tillson.
This indicator plots T3 moving average presented in Figure 4 in the article.
T3 indicator is a moving average which is calculated according to formula:
T3(n) = GD(GD(GD(n))),
where GD - generalized DEMA (Double EMA) and calculating according to this:
GD(n,v) = EMA(n) * (1+v)-EMA(EMA(n)) * v,
where "v" is volume factor, which determines how hot the moving average’s response
to linear trends will be. The author advises to use v=0.7.
When v = 0, GD = EMA, and when v = 1, GD = DEMA. In between, GD is a less aggressive
version of DEMA. By using a value for v less than1, trader cure the multiple DEMA
overshoot problem but at the cost of accepting some additional phase delay.
In filter theory terminology, T3 is a six-pole nonlinear Kalman filter. Kalman
filters are ones that use the error — in this case, (time series - EMA(n)) —
to correct themselves. In the realm of technical analysis, these are called adaptive
moving averages; they track the time series more aggres-sively when it is making large
moves. Tim Tillson is a software project manager at Hewlett-Packard, with degrees in
mathematics and computer science. He has privately traded options and equities for 15 years.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
MACD + DMI Scalping with Volatility Stop by (Coinrule)Trend-following strategies are cool because they allow you to catch potential high returns.
The main limit of such strategies are:
False signals > the asset is not experiencing a strong trend. The strategy gets stuck with a sideways move or, worst, with the beginning of a downtrend.
The sell signal may come later than the actual top, leading in some cases to turn a trade in profit into a loss.
This strategy tries to address these limitations to develop a trading system that optimises the entry and closes trade once the profit achieves a pre-set level.
ENTRY
The trading system uses the MACD and the DMI to confirm when is the best time for buying. Combining these two indicators prevents trading during downtrends and reduces the likelihood of getting stuck in a market with low volatility.
The system confirms the entry when:
The MACD histogram turns bullish.
When the positive DMI is greater than the negative DMI, there are more chances that the asset is trading in a sustained uptrend.
EXIT
The strategy comes with a fixed take profit combined with a volatility stop, which acts as a trailing stop to adapt to the trend's strength. Depending on your long term confidence in the asset, you can edit the fixed take profit to be more conservative or aggressive.
The position is closed when:
The price increases by 3%
The price crosses below the volatility stop.
The best time frame for this strategy based on our backtest is the 3-hr . The 4-hr can work well. In general, this approach suits medium to long term strategies
The strategy assumes each order to trade 30% of the available capital to make the results more realistic. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange.
Gap RiderThis Indicator allows you to make statistics on the performance of any underlying on the days in which an opening gap occurs.
Specifically, the indicator was designed for "0 dte" options trades. In fact, it is possible to find parameters that give a good statistical advantage by opening a spread in the direction of the gap, creating a trade that has a risk-return ratio of 1: 1.
The indicator shows flags on the graph (green in case of gap up, red in case of gap down) and colored boxes (green in case the stock closed in the direction of the gap, red in case the stock closed in the opposite direction to the gap, yellow in the event that the stock closed at a distance that did not allow the spread in options to close in maximum loss or maximum profit, and therefore in breakeven)
The statistics panel, on the other hand, contains all the information necessary to search for parameters that give the trader a good statistical advantage.
In the settings you can filter the days of the week, only gap up or only gap down, ATR thresholds (volatility), points or minimum percentage for which a gap is taken into account, measure of the breakeven (which for options traders should represent the half the width of the spread to open), large gaps filter that takes into consideration only gaps that open out of range compared to the previous session. The Lookback parameter of course is used to set how many bars to take into account for the statistics.
Parameters and recommended strategy:
TODAY 31/08/2021 - Lookback 500 bars (2 years)
UNDERLYING: SPX
FILTERS: only Monday and Wednesday, only gap up, only gap> 0.01%
STRATEGY: exactly at opening, cover an ATM spread in the direction of the gap (example: gap up, I open a long call spread) that has the opening price as a break even, with a risk-return ratio of 1: 1 and leave it open until closing session, or set take profit at 90-95%. It is advisable to take into consideration the SPX statistics but to operate on the ES future so as to be able to open the spread a couple of minutes before the opening of the cash session and prevent the trade from "running away" due to too sudden movements of the opening. .
RESULTS:
124 Trade
70% profitable trades
30% losing trades
Max drawdown 3 trades
So assuming a spread on ES 10 points wide, each trade would gain or lose $ 250, applying the described strategy we would have in two years, investing only $ 250, a profit of $ 12500, with a max drawdown of $ 750. We would therefore have a profit of 5000%, or rather 2500% per year on the invested capital, with a drawdown of a much lower proportion of the profit ($ 750 compared to $ 6250 of annual profit).
The strategy is infinitely scalable by increasing the options contracts used and the impact of the commissions is almost zero.
MONEY MANAGEMENT: Example on a 50K account, with a spread that earns or loses $ 500, in two years it earns $ 25,000, therefore about 12500 per year, with a max drawdown of $ 1500, therefore 25% per year on the ENTIRE ACCOUNT with a maximum drawdown of 3%.
Note: the test was performed without a break even parameter, so the actual result will be more moderate, but of the same explosive nature.
** BUG STILL LOOKING FOR SOLUTION **
only in case the filters are set to take into account ONLY the gap down, the drawdown count in the statistics panel shows an incorrect result "
[VJ] Viper VWAP IntradayHello Traders, this is a simple intraday strategy involving the ever reliable VWAP and a chop index to add twist to the traditional style . You can modify the values on the stock and see what are your best picks. Comment below if you found something with good returns
Strategy: VWAP based strategy but uses an additional powerful indicator Chop index to help us stay out of false trades.
Indicators used :
VWAP identifies the true average price of a stock by factoring the volume of transactions at a specific price point and not based on the closing price. VWAP can add more value than your standard 10, 50, or 200 moving average indicators because VWAP reacts to price movements based on the volume during a given period.
The Choppiness Index is designed to determine whether the market is choppy or trading sideways, or not choppy and trading within a trend in either direction. Using a scale from 1 - 100, the market is considered to be choppy as values near 100 (over 61.80) and trending when values are lower than 38.20)
Buying/Selling typically happens at VWAP Breakouts which is then validated with extreme CI to ascertain the entries
Aggressive trade stop can be employed by using the % for long and shorts in the strategy.
Usage & Best setting :
Choose a good volatile stock and a time frame - 10m.
CI Index : 14
Trend Factor - anything below 38.2 is considered in trend, you can experiment from 50
There is stop loss and take profit that can be used to optimise your trade
The template also includes daily square off based on your time.
QuickSilver Intraday using RSIThis is a simple intraday strategy using very basic intraday super indicators - RSI & VWAP for working on Stocks . You can modify the values on the stock and see what are your best picks. Comment below if you found something with good returns
Strategy:
Indicators used :
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular and widely used momentum oscillators.The values of the RSI oscillator, typically measured over a 14-day period, fluctuate between zero and 100. The Relative Strength Index indicates oversold market conditions when below 30 and overbought market conditions when above 70
VWAP identifies the true average price of a stock by factoring the volume of transactions at a specific price point and not based on the closing price. VWAP can add more value than your standard 10, 50, or 200 moving average indicators because VWAP reacts to price movements based on the volume during a given period.
Buying happens at VWAP Breakouts which is then validated with RSI to check for overbought & oversold conditions.
Aggressive trade stop can be employed by using the % for long and shorts in the strategy.
Usage & Best setting :
Choose a good volatile stock and a time frame - 10m.
RSI : 9
Overbought & Oversold - can be varied as per user
There is stop loss and take profit that can be used to optimise your trade
Extending this to,
In general guidelines for RSI :
Short-term intraday traders (day trading) often use lower settings with periods in the range of 9-11.
Medium-term swing traders frequently use the default period setting of 14.
Longer-term position traders often set it at a higher period, in the range of 20-30.
The template also includes daily square off based on your time.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & RSIThis is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
The RSI is a very popular indicator that follows price activity.
It calculates an average of the positive net changes, and an average
of the negative net changes in the most recent bars, and it determines
the ratio between these averages. The result is expressed as a number
between 0 and 100. Commonly it is said that if the RSI has a low value,
for example 30 or under, the symbol is oversold. And if the RSI has a
high value, 70 for example, the symbol is overbought.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Awesome Oscillator (AO) This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This indicator is based on Bill Williams` recommendations from his book
"New Trading Dimensions". We recommend this book to you as most useful reading.
The wisdom, technical expertise, and skillful teaching style of Williams make
it a truly revolutionary-level source. A must-have new book for stock and
commodity traders.
The 1st 2 chapters are somewhat of ramble where the author describes the
"metaphysics" of trading. Still some good ideas are offered. The book references
chaos theory, and leaves it up to the reader to believe whether "supercomputers"
were used in formulating the various trading methods (the author wants to come across
as an applied mathemetician, but he sure looks like a stock trader). There isn't any
obvious connection with Chaos Theory - despite of the weak link between the title and
content, the trading methodologies do work. Most readers think the author's systems to
be a perfect filter and trigger for a short term trading system. He states a goal of
10%/month, but when these filters & axioms are correctly combined with a good momentum
system, much more is a probable result.
There's better written & more informative books out there for less money, but this author
does have the "Holy Grail" of stock trading. A set of filters, axioms, and methods which are
the "missing link" for any trading system which is based upon conventional indicators.
This indicator plots the oscillator as a histogram where periods fit for buying are marked
as blue, and periods fit for selling as red. If the current value of AC (Awesome Oscillator)
is over the previous, the period is deemed fit for buying and the indicator is marked blue.
If the AC values is not over the previous, the period is deemed fir for selling and the indicator
is marked red.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Awesome Oscillator (AC) This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This indicator plots the oscillator as a histogram where blue denotes
periods suited for buying and red . for selling. If the current value
of AO (Awesome Oscillator) is above previous, the period is considered
suited for buying and the period is marked blue. If the AO value is not
above previous, the period is considered suited for selling and the
indicator marks it as red.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Random Entries Work!" tHe MaRkEtS aRe RaNdOm ", say moron academics.
The purpose of this study is to show that most markets are NOT random! Most markets show a clear bias where we can make such easy money, that a random number generator can do it.
=== HOW THE INDICATOR WORKS ===
The study will randomly enter the market
The study will randomly exit the market if in a trade
You can choose a Long Only, Short Only, or Bidirectional strategy
=== DEFAULT VALUES AND THEIR LOGIC ===
Percent Chance to Enter Per Bar: 10%
Percent Chance to Exit Per Bar: 3%
Direction: Long Only
Commission: 0
Each bar has a 10% chance to enter the market. Each bar has a 3% to exit the market . It will only enter long.
I included zero commission for simplification. It's a good exercise to include a commission/slippage to see just how much trading fees take from you.
=== TIPS ===
Increasing "Percent Chance to Exit" will shorten the time in a trade. You can see the "Avg # Bars In Trade" go down as you increase. If "Percent Chance to Exit" is too high, the study won't be in the market long enough to catch any movement, possibly exiting on the same bar most of the time.
If you're getting the red screen, that means the strategy lost so much money it went broke. Try reducing the percent equity on the Properties tab.
Switch the start year to avoid/minimize black swan events like the covid drop in 2020.
=== FINDINGS ===
Most markets lose money with a "Random" direction strategy.
Most markets lose ALL money with a "Short Only" strategy.
Most markets make money with a "Long Only" strategy.
Try this strategy on: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the NASDAQ (QQQ).
There are two popular memes right now: "Bitcoin to the moon" and "Stocks only go up". Both are seemingly true. Bitcoin was the best performing asset of the 2010's, gaining several billion percent in gains. The stock market is on a 100 year long uptrend. Why? BECAUSE FIAT CURRENCIES ALWAYS GO DOWN! This is inflation. If we measure the market in terms of others assets instead of fiat, the Long Only strategy doesn't work anymore (or works less well).
Try this strategy on: Bitcoin/GLD (BTCUSD/GLD), the Eurodollar (EURUSD), and the S&P 500 measured in gold (SPY/GLD).
Bitcoin measured in gold (BTCUSD/GLD) still works with a Long Only strategy because Bitcoin increased in value over both USD and gold.
The Eurodollar (EURUSD) generally loses money no matter what, especially if you add any commission. This makes sense as they are both fiat currencies with similar inflation schedules.
Gold and the S&P 500 have gained roughly the same amount since ~2000. Some years will show better results for a long strategy, while others will favor a short strategy. Now look at just SPY or GLD (which are both measured in USD by default!) and you'll see the same trend again: a Long Only strategy crushes even when entering and exiting randomly.
=== " JUST TELL ME WHAT TO DO, YOU NERD! " ===
Bulls always win and Bears always lose because fiat currencies go to zero.
You're not underperforming a random number generator, are you?
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & 2/20 Exponential MA This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This indicator plots 2/20 exponential moving average. For the Mov
Avg X 2/20 Indicator, the EMA bar will be painted when the Alert criteria is met.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Statistical Volatility This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This indicator used to calculate the statistical volatility, sometime
called historical volatility, based on the Extreme Value Method.
Please use this link to get more information about Volatility.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & STARC BandsThis is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
A type of technical indicator that is created by plotting two bands around
a short-term simple moving average (SMA) of an underlying asset's price.
The upper band is created by adding a value of the average true range
(ATR) - a popular indicator used by technical traders - to the moving average.
The lower band is created by subtracting a value of the ATR from the SMA.
STARC is an acronym for Stoller Average Range Channels. The indicator is
named after its creator, Manning Stoller.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
FTB Strategy (Automated)Hey traders!
This is a profitable strategy script I created to teach my students how to automate their scripts using 3rd party APIs (more info available in my profile link at the bottom of this page).
What Is This?
This strategy is called the "Follow The Bear" strategy.
It's a forex trading strategy designed for one purpose and one purpose only: to take advantage of a recurring pattern on EURUSD's 1-Hour chart during the European market open.
The basic explanation is this:
During the European open we want to see a rally followed by a swing high shooting star / reversal pinbar candle. This typically means that traders buying EURUSD during the European/London open are now trapped long, and as price begins to retrace they are forced to sell, fueling a short-term retracement.
This strategy takes advantage of that pattern by aggressively selling short with a tight stop-loss above the pinbar candle and a conservative target.
There are many ways to trade this pattern, but this script represents my personal method for trading it.
It is not 100% accurate (no strategy is), but it does have a considerably high win rate over the past 6+ years considering its simplicity and I've been trading it for several months and can attest to its edge over the markets (at least through the Oanda data feed which is what I use).
The strategy rules are this:
Market: EURUSD
Timeframe: 1-Hour
Direction: Short Only
Timezone: 6AM-10AM GMT
Days: Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday
Entry: Close of Pinbar Setup
Stop: 2 pips above signal candle
Target: 1:1
Risk: Up to you (backtest first! I use 1%)
The rule for the pinbar/shooting star candle pattern is that the candle must both open and close in the lower 50% of the bar's total size.
Automation
This script is already prepared to be auto-traded through a 3rd-party API that was created to relay TradingView alerts to your broker to execute and manage trades.
Sorry for the lack of information - due to TradingView's house rules I cannot go into any more detail here, but if you're interested in automating this script there is more info available in the resources offered under my profile link at the bottom of this page.
Disclaimer
The material and the resources offered here are for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and only execute trades based on your own personal judgement.
Trading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency, investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate.
The leveraged nature of forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Smoothed Williams ADThis is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
Accumulation is a term used to describe a market controlled by buyers;
whereas distribution is defined by a market controlled by sellers.
Williams recommends trading this indicator based on divergences:
Distribution of the security is indicated when the security is making
a new high and the A/D indicator is failing to make a new high. Sell.
Accumulation of the security is indicated when the security is making
a new low and the A/D indicator is failing to make a new low. Buy.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Smoothed RSIThis is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This is new version of RSI oscillator indicator, developed by John Ehlers.
The main advantage of his way of enhancing the RSI indicator is smoothing
with minimum of lag penalty.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & SMI Ergodic Oscillator This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
The SMI Ergodic Indicator is the same as the True Strength Index (TSI) developed by
William Blau, except the SMI includes a signal line. The SMI uses double moving averages
of price minus previous price over 2 time frames. The signal line, which is an EMA of the
SMI, is plotted to help trigger trading signals. Adjustable guides are also given to fine
tune these signals. The user may change the input (close), method (EMA), period lengths
and guide values.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
